The Ministry of Transportation (MTO) is undertaking a long-term transportation plan for the Greater Golden Horseshoe (GGH). As the project requires both transportation engineering and land use expertise, Urban Strategues was commissioned to co-lead it with transportation firm HDR. The highly complex multi-year project has three timeframes: an aspirational vision for 2071, a network plan for 2051 and a gap analysis for 2041. A study of Automated Vehicles will also be undertaken to inform the plan. The study will ultimately result in a transportation plan at the same scale as the Growth Plan for the GGH, providing an integrated transportation and land use plan for the region.
Early work on the project included developing three profiles of the GGH – transportation, socio-economic and environment and climate change – which provided a solid foundational understanding of existing conditions, trends, and future outlooks for the region. Long-term goals and objectives for the region were developed and consulted on with stakeholders and through an online public survey. The goals and objectives were tied to a rigourous set of measures of effectiveness that will be used to evaluate network options.
To take account of the uncertainty inherent in a plan with a 50+ year timeframe, a strategic foresight process was undertaken, including interviews with 20 local and international thought leaders as well as two foresight workshops. The foresight process generated five stretch futures that help the team to understand the consequences of different growth, economic, transportation and land use futures for the region. Lessons from the analysis of the futures will be used to ensure that the transportation plan is resilient no matter what the future brings.
Read more on the project website: https://www.gghtransport2051.ca/